Nedturspakke ikke forårspakke
11. mar 2009 21:05, Benny-Engelbrecht
Giver regeringens såkaldte forårspakke flere arbejdspladser? Regeringen mener selv, at den vil tage toppen af den eksplosive vækst i ledigheden. Regeringen overvurderer effekten ganske voldsomt.
Der bliver snarere 5.-7.000 færre ledige end 19.000, antyder ny tal fra AE-Rådet. Rådet har regnet på, at der bliver flere i arbejde som følge af effekterne af finansloven for 2009 og trafikpakken, men alligevel vil ledigheden frem til nytårsaften stige til ca. 120.000 fuldtidsforsikrede.
End ikke i forbindelse med ”oliekriserne” i 1973 og 1979 skød arbejdsløsheden opad så hurtigt. Effekterne af en decideret vækstpakke vil være det instrument, som kan få billedet til at vende. Der er ingen vej uden om en vækstpakke, hvor hovedvægten bliver lagt på at fremme og fremskyde offentlige investeringer.
En tommelfingerregel siger, at der bliver fem job ved at fremskynde offentlige investeringer, men kun ét ved skattelettelser, hvis man afsætter det samme beløb. Den erkendelse kommer regeringen så ikke til i år. Vi hæfter os ved, at beskæftigelsesminister Claus Hjort Frederiksen fra Folketingets talerstol ikke ville svare på, hvor mange flere ledige, der skulle til før regeringen skred til handling. Hvad skal de nu 64.000 ledige så gøre? De skal søge job, sagde Frederiksen.
Hvor finder ministeren så de job, de ledige skal søge? Når 1000 mennesker om ugen bliver fyret, så er der altså et underskud af job – ikke et overskud, men bare lige kan snuppe i stedet.
15. mar 2009 10:28
Helt sikkert vil der blive flere ledige, vi har kun set begyndelsen. Ved at lette på skatten til de rigeste har ingen svæk, med mindre der er krav om investering, og så er det ikke sikkert at det har nogen effekt, udbud og efterspørgsel betyder noget i vores samfund. Hvis man investerer i offentlige projekter hvil det give flere arbejdspladser og holde folk igang. Men det betyder også noget at vi bruger danske matrialer, i forhold til import og eksport. Derfor giver skattelettelser måske arbejde til vores lokale forretninger og arbejde til en kineser istedet for til dansker. Det er forkasteligt at regeringen ikke værdsætter arbejdsfordeling. Der er jo ikke andre job at få, jo måske til en ingenør, men det kan vi jo ikke være alle sammen. De kunne investere i at uddanne de ledige og lade dem beholde dagpengene mens de uddanner sig, uanset hvor lang tid de har har ledige.
16. mar 2009 07:25
Enig - der er brug for en vækstpakke
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